Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenny Florian vs Roger Huerta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roger Huerta
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Roger Huerta

“El Matador”

24-13-1LightweightBFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record24-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Florian Martial Arts CenterTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Kenny Florian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Roger Huerta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kenny FlorianNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-20→ 1641
Roger HuertaNow 1579
If they win+15→ 1594
If they lose-9→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
40%
Strike accuracy
37%
1.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
64%
Strike defense
57%
2.22
Takedown avg.
2.13
33%
Takedown accuracy
46%
60%
Takedown defense
53%
1.27
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Kenny FlorianRoger Huerta
1600165017002009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
8 (57%)
Submission
5 (23%)
2 (14%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenny Florian68%
Roger Huerta 32%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Florian a 68% favorite over Roger Huerta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Kenny Florian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1579, a 82-point edge.

Kenny Florian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kenny Florian finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.