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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenny Mokhonoana vs Matt Sayles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'7"
73"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
C-MAC· 1590 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenny MokhonoanaNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Matt SaylesNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.83
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.36
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
82%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Kenny MokhonoanaMatt Sayles
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
4 (50%)
Submission
1 (13%)
3 (38%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenny Mokhonoana53%
Matt Sayles 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Mokhonoana a 53% favorite over Matt Sayles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Kenny Mokhonoana enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Matt Sayles enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kenny Mokhonoana finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Matt Sayles 88%.

Kenny Mokhonoana carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.