Kenny Robertson vs Mike Pierce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record17-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Central Illinois Combat ClubTeamSports Lab
What's at stake
Mike Pierce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kenny Robertson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1624
If they win+9→ 1724
If they lose-15→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kenny RobertsonMike Pierce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Pierce64%
Kenny Robertson 36%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Pierce a 64% favorite over Kenny Robertson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Mike Pierce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1636, a 79-point edge.
Kenny Robertson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mike Pierce enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kenny Robertson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pierce 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.