Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenny Robertson vs Thiago Perpétuo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record9-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Central Illinois Combat ClubTeamFuracao Fight Team

What's at stake

Kenny Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Thiago Perpétuo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kenny RobertsonNow 1636
If they win+11→ 1647
If they lose-21→ 1615
Thiago PerpétuoNow 1524
If they win+31→ 1555
If they lose-17→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.72
Sig. strikes / min
5.39
47%
Strike accuracy
70%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.51
52%
Strike defense
51%
1.37
Takedown avg.
2.82
27%
Takedown accuracy
50%
57%
Takedown defense
67%
0.85
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kenny RobertsonThiago Perpétuo
155016001650201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
9 (60%)
Submission
1 (11%)
2 (13%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kenny Robertson and Thiago Perpétuo within a point of even.

Kenny Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1524, a 112-point edge.

Kenny Robertson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Thiago Perpétuo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kenny Robertson finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Perpétuo 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.