Combat Edge Intelligence

Kerim Engizek vs Royce Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-6-0Record15-2-3
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach--
185 lbsWeight176 lbs
UFD GymTeamGracie Humaita

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kerim EngizekNow 1727
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-12→ 1715
Royce GracieNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.88
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.13
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Kerim EngizekRoyce Gracie
170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (63%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
3 (13%)
Submission
11 (73%)
6 (25%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Kerim Engizek60%
Royce Gracie 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kerim Engizek a 60% favorite over Royce Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1726), separated by just 1 points.

Kerim Engizek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Royce Gracie enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kerim Engizek finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Royce Gracie 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.