Ketlen Vieira vs Miesha Tate
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record20-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
68"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Ketlen Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Miesha Tate carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1687
If they lose-17→ 1655
If they win+13→ 1653
If they lose-11→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ketlen VieiraMiesha Tate
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ketlen Vieira71%
Miesha Tate 29%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Vieira a 71% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ketlen Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1640, a 32-point edge.
Ketlen Vieira finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Miesha Tate 60%.
Ketlen Vieira and Miesha Tate share 3 common opponents: Raquel Pennington, Holly Holm and Yana Santos.
Ketlen Vieira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.