Combat Edge Intelligence

Ketlen Vieira vs Sara McMann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'5"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

Ketlen Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Sara McMann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ketlen VieiraNow 1664
If they win+14→ 1678
If they lose-18→ 1646
Sara McMannNow 1614
If they win+18→ 1632
If they lose-14→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.26
40%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.92
51%
Strike defense
48%
1.31
Takedown avg.
4.38
17%
Takedown accuracy
65%
90%
Takedown defense
50%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Ketlen VieiraSara McMann
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
4 (25%)
Submission
5 (36%)
10 (63%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Ketlen Vieira78%
Sara McMann 22%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Vieira a 78% favorite over Sara McMann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Ketlen Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1614, a 50-point edge.

Ketlen Vieira finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.

Ketlen Vieira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.