Kevin Aguilar vs Zubaira Tukhugov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record20-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach68"
145 lbsWeight158 lbs
Longview MMATeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin AguilarZubaira Tukhugov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zubaira Tukhugov61%
Kevin Aguilar 39%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Zubaira Tukhugov a 61% favorite over Kevin Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1691), separated by just 6 points.
Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kevin Aguilar finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.