Kevin Borjas vs Mason Hartshorn
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Borjas72%
Mason Hartshorn 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Borjas a 72% favorite over Mason Hartshorn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.
Mason Hartshorn enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kevin Borjas finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mason Hartshorn 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'4"
68"Reach-
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1659 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamTeam Black
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin BorjasMason Hartshorn