Kevin Borjas vs Matheus Severino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record15-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
68"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts Center· 1660 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1688 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin BorjasMatheus Severino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Borjas70%
Matheus Severino 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Borjas a 70% favorite over Matheus Severino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1621), separated by just 2 points.
Kevin Borjas finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Severino 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.