Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Borjas vs Rei Tsuruya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Borjas
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Kevin Borjas

“El Gallo Negro”

11-5-0FlyweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record11-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
68"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts CenterTeamThe Blackbelt Japan

What's at stake

Rei Tsuruya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Kevin Borjas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin BorjasNow 1636
If they win+20→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1624
Rei TsuruyaNow 1729
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-20→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
43%
Strike accuracy
54%
5.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.91
50%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
5.03
0%
Takedown accuracy
6%
73%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
2.01

Trajectory

Kevin BorjasRei Tsuruya
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (45%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Rei Tsuruya71%
Kevin Borjas 29%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Rei Tsuruya a 71% favorite over Kevin Borjas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Rei Tsuruya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1636, a 93-point edge.

Kevin Borjas finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 82%.

Kevin Borjas and Rei Tsuruya share 1 common opponent: Joshua Van.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Joshua Van
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025