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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Burns vs Leon Shahbazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Burns
us

Kevin Burns

“The Fire”

12-7-0WelterweightVFC

1580Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin BurnsNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Leon ShahbazyanNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
6.10
39%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.45
53%
Strike defense
33%
0.28
Takedown avg.
1.41
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
48%
Takedown defense
0%
0.85
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kevin BurnsLeon Shahbazyan
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
8 (67%)
Submission
11 (92%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Shahbazyan54%
Kevin Burns 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Shahbazyan a 54% favorite over Kevin Burns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Burns's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1580), separated by just 0 points.

Leon Shahbazyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Burns finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Leon Shahbazyan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.