Kevin Carrier vs Lando Vannata
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record12-8-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ultimate AthleticsTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin CarrierLando Vannata
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lando Vannata57%
Kevin Carrier 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lando Vannata a 57% favorite over Kevin Carrier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Carrier's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.
Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kevin Carrier finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Lando Vannata 75%.
Kevin Carrier carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.