AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Carrier vs Rick Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record3-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"HeightTBD
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ultimate AthleticsTeamLas Vegas Combat Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin CarrierNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524
Rick DavisNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.19
Not available
Strike defense
64%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kevin CarrierRick Davis
155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
3 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Carrier53%
Rick Davis 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Carrier a 53% favorite over Rick Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1548), separated by just 0 points.

Kevin Carrier finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rick Davis 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.