Kevin Carrier vs Thomas Denny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record27-21-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524
If they win+12→ 1560
If they lose-12→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin CarrierThomas Denny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Carrier56%
Thomas Denny 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Carrier a 56% favorite over Thomas Denny in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1548), separated by just 0 points.
Thomas Denny enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kevin Carrier finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Denny 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.