Kevin Casey vs Luka Vrtačić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-2Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'4"
77,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Black HouseTeamTrojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin CaseyLuka Vrtačić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luka Vrtačić52%
Kevin Casey 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luka Vrtačić a 52% favorite over Kevin Casey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Casey's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.
Luka Vrtačić enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kevin Casey finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.