Kevin Haley vs Matthew O'Rourke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height-
81"Reach-
195 lbsWeight205 lbs
Nostos MMATeamTeam Ryano Waterford
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1484
If they lose-23→ 1436
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1615 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin HaleyMatthew O'Rourke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew O'Rourke70%
Kevin Haley 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 70% favorite over Kevin Haley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1471), separated by just 12 points.
Kevin Haley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kevin Haley finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.