Kevin Holland vs Kyle Daukaus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
81"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phalanx MMA AcademyTeamMartinez BJJ
What's at stake
Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kyle Daukaus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1747
If they lose-13→ 1723
If they win+17→ 1733
If they lose-15→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin HollandKyle Daukaus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kevin Holland and Kyle Daukaus within a point of even.
Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1716, a 20-point edge.
Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.
Kevin Holland and Kyle Daukaus share 1 common opponent: Roman Dolidze.
Kevin Holland carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.