Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Holland vs Michael Page

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record25-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'3"
81"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Phalanx MMA AcademyTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

Michael Page is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kevin Holland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin HollandNow 1736
If they win+15→ 1751
If they lose-9→ 1727
Michael PageNow 1827
If they win+9→ 1836
If they lose-15→ 1812

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
50%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.51
50%
Strike defense
62%
0.79
Takedown avg.
0.19
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
58%
Takedown defense
70%
0.60
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kevin HollandMichael Page
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
13 (52%)
9 (31%)
Submission
3 (12%)
6 (21%)
Decision
9 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Page72%
Kevin Holland 28%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Page a 72% favorite over Kevin Holland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Michael Page holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1827 to 1736, a 91-point edge.

Michael Page enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Michael Page 64%.

Kevin Holland carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.