Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Holland vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
81"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phalanx MMA AcademyTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Michał Oleksiejczuk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin HollandNow 1736
If they win+11→ 1747
If they lose-13→ 1723
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1705
If they win+13→ 1718
If they lose-11→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
50%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
50%
Strike defense
60%
0.79
Takedown avg.
1.02
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
58%
Takedown defense
53%
0.60
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kevin HollandMichał Oleksiejczuk
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
9 (31%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (21%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kevin Holland and Michał Oleksiejczuk within a point of even.

Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1705, a 31-point edge.

Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Kevin Holland carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.