Kevin Holland vs Reinier de Ridder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record22-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
81"Reach 78"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Reinier de Ridder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kevin Holland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1749
If they lose-11→ 1725
If they win+14→ 1788
If they lose-18→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin HollandReinier de Ridder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Holland57%
Reinier de Ridder 43%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 57% favorite over Reinier de Ridder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Reinier de Ridder's way (45%).
Reinier de Ridder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1736, a 38-point edge.
Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.
Kevin Holland and Reinier de Ridder share 1 common opponent: Roman Dolidze.
Kevin Holland carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.