Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Holland vs Reinier de Ridder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record21-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
81"Reach 78"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Phalanx MMA AcademyTeamCombat Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin HollandNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
Reinier de RidderNow 1746
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
50%
Strike defense
47%
0.79
Takedown avg.
2.56
0%
Takedown accuracy
10%
58%
Takedown defense
40%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Kevin HollandReinier de Ridder
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
5 (24%)
9 (31%)
Submission
13 (62%)
6 (21%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kevin Holland and Reinier de Ridder within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1746), separated by just 10 points.

Reinier de Ridder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.

Kevin Holland carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.