Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
81"Reach73″
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Phalanx MMA AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Santiago Ponzinibbio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1747
If they lose-13→ 1723
If they win+13→ 1725
If they lose-11→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin HollandSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Holland66%
Santiago Ponzinibbio 34%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 66% favorite over Santiago Ponzinibbio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1712, a 24-point edge.
Kevin Holland finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.
Kevin Holland and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 1 common opponent: Daniel Rodriguez.
Kevin Holland carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.