Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Jordan vs Paul Buentello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Buentello
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Paul Buentello

“The Headhunter”

35-17-0Light HeavyweightACB

1643Solid

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record35-17-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
245 lbsWeight205 lbs
USCAATeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

Paul Buentello is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Kevin Jordan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin JordanNow 1481
If they win+23→ 1504
If they lose-9→ 1472
Paul BuentelloNow 1643
If they win+7→ 1650
If they lose-17→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
42%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.32
55%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0.36
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
78%
Takedown defense
39%
0
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Kevin JordanPaul Buentello
15001550160016502010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
25 (71%)
4 (36%)
Submission
6 (17%)
4 (36%)
Decision
4 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Buentello78%
Kevin Jordan 22%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Buentello a 78% favorite over Kevin Jordan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Paul Buentello holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1643 to 1481, a 162-point edge.

Kevin Jordan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Jordan finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Paul Buentello 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.