Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Jordan vs Ryo Sakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1491Average

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
245 lbsWeight246 lbs
USCAATeamRanger Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin JordanNow 1481
If they win+16→ 1497
If they lose-16→ 1465
Ryo SakaiNow 1491
If they win+12→ 1503
If they lose-12→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kevin JordanRyo Sakai
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
4 (36%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai67%
Kevin Jordan 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 67% favorite over Kevin Jordan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1481 vs 1491), separated by just 10 points.

Kevin Jordan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Jordan finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Sakai 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.