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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Jordan vs Samuele Di Guardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record4-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
245 lbsWeight265 lbs
USCAATeamAurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 14 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin JordanNow 1482
If they win+16→ 1498
If they lose-16→ 1466
Samuele Di GuardoNow 1487
If they win+24→ 1511
If they lose-24→ 1463

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
78%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kevin JordanSamuele Di Guardo
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
4 (36%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Jordan52%
Samuele Di Guardo 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Jordan a 52% favorite over Samuele Di Guardo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Samuele Di Guardo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1482 vs 1487), separated by just 5 points.

Kevin Jordan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Samuele Di Guardo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Jordan finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Samuele Di Guardo 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.