Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Jousset vs Matthew Semelsberger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record11-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75″Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
City KickboxingTeamClinch Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin JoussetNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Matthew SemelsbergerNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.91
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
30%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
46%
Strike defense
54%
0.88
Takedown avg.
1.01
50%
Takedown accuracy
57%
46%
Takedown defense
46%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Kevin JoussetMatthew Semelsberger
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (9%)
5 (50%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Jousset60%
Matthew Semelsberger 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Jousset a 60% favorite over Matthew Semelsberger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Kevin Jousset enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kevin Jousset finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Matthew Semelsberger 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.