Kevin Lee vs Michel Prazeres
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record27-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'6"
77"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Tristar GymTeamCoalizao Fight Team
What's at stake
Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kevin Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-10→ 1701
If they win+10→ 1765
If they lose-14→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin LeeMichel Prazeres
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Lee61%
Michel Prazeres 39%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Lee a 61% favorite over Michel Prazeres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Prazeres's way (44%).
Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1711, a 44-point edge.
Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kevin Lee finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Michel Prazeres 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.