Kevin Lee vs Rafael dos Anjos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record32-17-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
77"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamRDA Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin LeeRafael dos Anjos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Lee70%
Rafael dos Anjos 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Lee a 70% favorite over Rafael dos Anjos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rafael dos Anjos's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1713), separated by just 2 points.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kevin Lee finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.
Kevin Lee carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.