Kevin Natividad vs Miles Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Miles Johns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kevin Natividad carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1610
If they lose-10→ 1578
If they win+10→ 1728
If they lose-22→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin NatividadMiles Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miles Johns92%
Kevin Natividad 8%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 92% favorite over Kevin Natividad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Miles Johns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1588, a 130-point edge.
Kevin Natividad enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kevin Natividad finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 44%.
Kevin Natividad carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.