Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Natividad vs Nicolas Mandiola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamKiltros Crew

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin NatividadNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Nicolas MandiolaNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
3.66
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kevin NatividadNicolas Mandiola
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
1 (11%)
Submission
3 (60%)
3 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kevin Natividad and Nicolas Mandiola within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.

Kevin Natividad enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kevin Natividad finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Mandiola 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.