Kevin Natividad vs Nohelin Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
70"Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin NatividadNohelin Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nohelin Hernandez59%
Kevin Natividad 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nohelin Hernandez a 59% favorite over Kevin Natividad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.
Kevin Natividad enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kevin Natividad finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nohelin Hernandez 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.