Kevin Natividad vs Phil Caracappa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin NatividadPhil Caracappa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Natividad61%
Phil Caracappa 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Natividad a 61% favorite over Phil Caracappa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.
Kevin Natividad finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Phil Caracappa 18%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.