Kevin Natividad vs Ricky Turcios
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin NatividadRicky Turcios
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Turcios64%
Kevin Natividad 36%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Turcios a 64% favorite over Kevin Natividad in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Natividad's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1593), separated by just 4 points.
Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kevin Natividad finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.