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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Natividad vs Tariq Ismail

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tariq Ismail
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Tariq Ismail

“Desert Storm”

8-1-0BantamweightPFL

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin NatividadNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Tariq IsmailNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
48%
Strike defense
Not available
3.66
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
83%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kevin NatividadTariq Ismail
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
1 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Decision
7 (88%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Natividad72%
Tariq Ismail 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Natividad a 72% favorite over Tariq Ismail in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.

Kevin Natividad finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Ismail 13%.

Kevin Natividad carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.