Kevin Natividad vs Thimna Mhlauli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin NatividadThimna Mhlauli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thimna Mhlauli53%
Kevin Natividad 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thimna Mhlauli a 53% favorite over Kevin Natividad in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Natividad's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1588), separated by just 0 points.
Kevin Natividad enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kevin Natividad finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Thimna Mhlauli 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.