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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Pease vs Trey Waters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Kevin Pease
us

Kevin Pease

“Sweet Pea”

8-0-0WelterweightPFL

1677Good
Trey Waters
us

Trey Waters

“The Truth”

10-2-0WelterweightPFL

1679Good

Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'5"
72"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamLudus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin PeaseNow 1677
If they win+24→ 1701
If they lose-24→ 1653
Trey WatersNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6.39
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.40
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
86%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Kevin PeaseTrey Waters
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
4 (50%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (38%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Trey Waters59%
Kevin Pease 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 59% favorite over Kevin Pease in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.

Kevin Pease enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Kevin Pease finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Trey Waters 70%.

Trey Waters carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.