Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Perdomo vs Mehdi Baghdad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'1"
-Reach40,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin PerdomoNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
Mehdi BaghdadNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
31%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.56
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kevin PerdomoMehdi Baghdad
1500155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
3 (50%)
Submission
3 (25%)
2 (33%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Perdomo62%
Mehdi Baghdad 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Perdomo a 62% favorite over Mehdi Baghdad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.

Kevin Perdomo enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kevin Perdomo finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mehdi Baghdad 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.