Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Randleman vs Renato Sobral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Randleman
us

Kevin Randleman

“The Monster”

17-16-0Light HeavyweightFEMFP

1547Average

Tale of the tape

17-16-0Record37-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tapout Training CenterTeamBabalu's Iron Gym

What's at stake

Renato Sobral is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Kevin Randleman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin RandlemanNow 1547
If they win+17→ 1564
If they lose-7→ 1540
Renato SobralNow 1687
If they win+7→ 1694
If they lose-17→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.26
Sig. strikes / min
2.01
55%
Strike accuracy
52%
1.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
57%
Strike defense
58%
2
Takedown avg.
2.97
56%
Takedown accuracy
67%
31%
Takedown defense
65%
0.82
Submission avg.
3.16

Trajectory

Kevin RandlemanRenato Sobral
155016001650170020092010201120122013

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
9 (24%)
0 (0%)
Submission
15 (41%)
8 (47%)
Decision
13 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Renato Sobral78%
Kevin Randleman 22%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Renato Sobral a 78% favorite over Kevin Randleman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Renato Sobral holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1547, a 140-point edge.

Kevin Randleman enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Renato Sobral enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Randleman finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Renato Sobral 65%.

Kevin Randleman and Renato Sobral share 1 common opponent: Mike Whitehead.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Loss Decision · 2009
Mike Whitehead
Win Decision · 2008