Kevin Robledo vs Mike Rio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record10-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5′6″Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamZen Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1592
If they lose-24→ 1544
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kevin RobledoMike Rio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Rio58%
Kevin Robledo 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Rio a 58% favorite over Kevin Robledo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1569), separated by just 1 points.
Kevin Robledo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kevin Robledo finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mike Rio 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.