Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Rosas vs Mansur Khatuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record17-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'5"
68"Reach-
145 lbsWeight137 lbs
MMA LabTeamFight Club Berkut· 1663 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin RosasNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Mansur KhatuevNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Kevin RosasMansur Khatuev
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
4 (57%)
Submission
4 (24%)
1 (14%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Rosas67%
Mansur Khatuev 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Rosas a 67% favorite over Mansur Khatuev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Kevin Rosas enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kevin Rosas finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Khatuev 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.