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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Rosier vs Lorenzo Figueroa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-6-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
265 lbsWeight223 lbs
Team

What's at stake

Lorenzo Figueroa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Kevin Rosier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin RosierNow 1437
If they win+28→ 1465
If they lose-20→ 1417
Lorenzo FigueroaNow 1502
If they win+20→ 1522
If they lose-28→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kevin RosierLorenzo Figueroa
145015001999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Rosier51%
Lorenzo Figueroa 49%Elo baseline: 41%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Rosier a 51% favorite over Lorenzo Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lorenzo Figueroa's way (41%).

Lorenzo Figueroa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1437, a 65-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.