Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Rosier vs Ryo Sakai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1491Average

Tale of the tape

2-6-0Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
265 lbsWeight246 lbs
TeamRanger Gym

What's at stake

Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kevin Rosier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin RosierNow 1437
If they win+28→ 1465
If they lose-20→ 1417
Ryo SakaiNow 1491
If they win+10→ 1501
If they lose-14→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kevin RosierRyo Sakai
1450150015501999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai70%
Kevin Rosier 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 70% favorite over Kevin Rosier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1437, a 54-point edge.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.