Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Rosier vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-6-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
265 lbsWeight240 lbs
TeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Kevin Rosier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin RosierNow 1437
If they win+29→ 1466
If they lose-19→ 1418
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+19→ 1528
If they lose-29→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kevin RosierSascha Weinpolter
145015001999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter70%
Kevin Rosier 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 70% favorite over Kevin Rosier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1437, a 72-point edge.

Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.