Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Souza vs Mark Eddiva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Souza
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Kevin Souza

“Kevin”

17-7-0FeatherweightSBC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

17-7-0Record6-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
44.00Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
DS TeamTeamLakay MMA

What's at stake

Kevin Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Mark Eddiva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kevin SouzaNow 1582
If they win+19→ 1601
If they lose-29→ 1553
Mark EddivaNow 1502
If they win+29→ 1531
If they lose-19→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
58%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
1.45
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
50%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kevin SouzaMark Eddiva
150015501600201420152016

Win method breakdown

14 (82%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (12%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Souza72%
Mark Eddiva 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Souza a 72% favorite over Mark Eddiva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Kevin Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1502, a 80-point edge.

Mark Eddiva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kevin Souza finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mark Eddiva 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.