Kevin Souza vs Mathieu Greco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record5-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'10"
44.00Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
DS TeamTeamBali MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1629 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin SouzaMathieu Greco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mathieu Greco55%
Kevin Souza 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mathieu Greco a 55% favorite over Kevin Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.
Mathieu Greco enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Kevin Souza finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mathieu Greco 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.