Keweny Lopes vs Leonard Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-1Record18-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
68"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keweny LopesLeonard Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keweny Lopes56%
Leonard Garcia 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Keweny Lopes a 56% favorite over Leonard Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.
Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keweny Lopes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Leonard Garcia 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.