Keweny Lopes vs Pablo Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-1Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'1"
68"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Keweny LopesPablo Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keweny Lopes64%
Pablo Garza 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Keweny Lopes a 64% favorite over Pablo Garza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pablo Garza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.
Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keweny Lopes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Garza 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.