Keweny Lopes vs Steven Peterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-1Record19-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
68"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Keweny LopesSteven Peterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keweny Lopes62%
Steven Peterson 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Keweny Lopes a 62% favorite over Steven Peterson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.
Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keweny Lopes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.
Steven Peterson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.