Combat Edge Intelligence

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Pat Healy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Pat Healy
us

Pat Healy

“Bam Bam”

34-24-0LightweightACB

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

29-0-0Record34-24-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamSports Lab

What's at stake

Khabib Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Pat Healy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Khabib NurmagomedovNow 1890
If they win+4→ 1894
If they lose-20→ 1870
Pat HealyNow 1631
If they win+20→ 1651
If they lose-4→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.10
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
49%
Strike accuracy
37%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
65%
Strike defense
50%
5.32
Takedown avg.
3.08
48%
Takedown accuracy
37%
85%
Takedown defense
56%
0.79
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Khabib NurmagomedovPat Healy
17001800190020162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

8 (28%)
KO/TKO
7 (21%)
11 (38%)
Submission
15 (44%)
10 (34%)
Decision
12 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Khabib Nurmagomedov84%
Pat Healy 16%Elo baseline: 82%

The Combat Edge model makes Khabib Nurmagomedov a 84% favorite over Pat Healy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).

Khabib Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1890 to 1631, a 259-point edge.

Khabib Nurmagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Khabib Nurmagomedov finishes 66% of wins inside the distance, Pat Healy 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.