AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Usman Nurmagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

29-0-0Record22-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Khabib Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Usman Nurmagomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Khabib NurmagomedovNow 1889
If they win+11→ 1900
If they lose-13→ 1876
Usman NurmagomedovNow 1849
If they win+18→ 1867
If they lose-14→ 1835

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.10
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
65%
Strike defense
Not available
5.32
Takedown avg.
Not available
48%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
85%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.79
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Khabib NurmagomedovUsman Nurmagomedov
180018501900201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (28%)
KO/TKO
9 (41%)
11 (38%)
Submission
7 (32%)
10 (34%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Usman Nurmagomedov63%
Khabib Nurmagomedov 37%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Usman Nurmagomedov a 63% favorite over Khabib Nurmagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Khabib Nurmagomedov's way (44%).

Khabib Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1889 to 1849, a 40-point edge.

Khabib Nurmagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Usman Nurmagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Khabib Nurmagomedov finishes 66% of wins inside the distance, Usman Nurmagomedov 73%.

Usman Nurmagomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.